In this installment, the crew plays a game of midterm trivia and analyzes the press coverage surrounding the latest decline in life expectancy. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. What does it take to make democracy work? FiveThirtyEight Politics (podcast) | Listen online - Free - No signup Then Nathaniel Rakich and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join to discuss how abortion has played a role in elections this year and when we should know the results of next months midterms. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. And lastly, they check-in on the gubernatorial recall efforts in California that are very likely to result in a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom. They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers across American markets and society on the whole. On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. Best FiveThirtyEight Podcasts (2023) - Player fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. In this installment, Jennifer Merolla, a Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside, and Hannah Hartig, a research associate at Pew Research Center reflect on the political climate in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and whether a similar American consensus is possible today. Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. Podcast Transcription Generator- Transcribe Online | Type Studio Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discuss the messages that Senators sent and whether we were able to glean anything about what kind of Justice Jackson would be. The crew discusses how Bidens approval rating may impact the midterm election, whether tracking Google search terms over time is a better barometer than traditional polling, and how Black voters are changing the political landscape of Georgia. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless' Mental Health AI & Data Science Politics News Business Investing English United States 365 episodes since Nov. 1, 2018 episodic IN THIS PODCAST FiveThirtyEight Politics The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused. Nate Silver to FiveThirtyEight Critics: 'Fuck You, We Did a Good Job' They also discuss the trend of amateur candidates running in and winning House primary elections, and ask whether Biden's dismissal of the polls is a "good or bad use of polling.". Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. Dive in and Share your insights! How To Create A Podcast Transcript - The Ultimate Guide What Are The Most Vulnerable Senate Seats In 2024? | FiveThirtyEight And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast Make sure you select the language your Podcast episode is recorded in when uploading your audio. fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. Nate and Galen answer listener questions in this installment of Model Talk. Micah Cohen and Kaleigh Rogers also join to talk about why Republicans are not backing a bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. Democrat and former state Rep. Mary Peltola won Alaska's special congressional election on Wednesday, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." The crew debates why politicians break with their parties in high-profile ways and what the repercussions can be. It's a busy week! FiveThirtyEight Politics on Stitcher Former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb joins the podcast to discuss Americas unpreparedness for COVID-19 and how the country should prepare for the next pandemic. Galen Druke speaks with the founders of the political research firm Equis Research, Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio. Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. What do we know, how confidently do we know it and what do we know we dont know? The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. Lastly, the team analyzes how the educational divide is shaping American politics. Transcript: Ezra Klein Interviews Ta-Nehisi Coates and Nikole Hannah The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. In this installment, we put that primary in context by looking more broadly at the relationship between urban centers and the Democratic Party. Google Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Politic FiveThirtyEight Politics - Listen to All Episodes | News - TuneIn The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, Good Sport on Apple Podcasts The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. Nathaniel Rakich discusses why it's difficult to draw a broader conclusion about the political environment based on the result. They also cover the redistricting process happening around the country after a number of big recent developments. More Information Location: United States Genres: News & Politics Podcasts Politics News Networks: ABC News (US) Description: They also consider whether a poll that asks Americans if they think the U.S. is currently in a recession is a "good or bad use of polling.". President Bidens $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet after West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics. And what does Florida's new voting law tell us about the GOP's efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the party's larger motivations? They also ask whether a sentiment analysis suggesting that the press is more negative on Biden than it was on President Trump is a "good or bad use of data.". 04:58 PM. The crew also takes a look at the changes to election law that Republicans have proposed in Georgia and other states after Trump's loss in 2020. Will Democrats Rally Behind President Biden In 2024? In this installment, Robert Crews, a History professor from Stanford University, joins to reflect on the history of the Taliban and the current political landscape in Afghanistan. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the term. The crew discusses how Americans are feeling about COVID-19 and what types of restrictions they do and don't support after almost two years. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless' Zach and ESPN's Michael Schwartz break down the red-hot Suns ahead of their showdown with the Warriors, then ESPN's Dave McMenamin checks in on the Lakers -- plus . Just another site fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App FiveThirtyEight Politics https://feeds.megaphone.fm/ESP8794877317 Follow Share 13.5k Followers 200 Episodes Category: Politics Last Update: 2023-02-21 Claim Ownership President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. RSS Loading. MAJORITY 255 REP SEATS 240 225 225 240 255 DEM SEATS 84 in 100 84 in 100 Republicans win Republicans win 16 in 100 16 in 100 . They also rank the Senate races that will be most important in determining which party controls the Senate next year. The crew discusses the political fallout from the Supreme Courts decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. The team debates if Americans really do move to Canada, or to different U.S. states, for political reasons. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. Video What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? June 2, 2016. It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. The crew talks about where Americans stand on mitigation efforts, how politicians are responding, and what public health experts are saying about the current state of the pandemic. r/fivethirtyeight. FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. The crew looks at how the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pause shaped public opinion of that vaccine and willingness to be vaccinated more broadly. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. The crew discusses the Senate passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, new polling on how Americans think about crime and gun violence, and how state-level debates over abortion bans are playing out. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! Conversations with Tyler | Listen to Tyler Cowen's Official Podcast Reporter Greg Bluestein explains how it happened in his new book, Flipped: How Georgia Turned Purple and Broke the Monopoly on Republican Power, and discusses with Galen what it means for 2022 and beyond. They also discuss the recent trend in Senate candidates refusing to debate each other and why Republicans can't agree on what abortion restrictions to pass. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. The team also looks at how debates about "Critical Race Theory" entered the culture wars, particularly in schools and state legislatures. Tensions between the U.S. and China have grown in recent years and, in this installment, the crew looks at changing public opinion of China and how it could shape American politics. security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. In the main event, former light @Nate_Cohn: The Democrats are putting up an impressive showing in VA-4, the first special congressional election of the cycle. What Liz Cheney might do next | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. The crew discusses the politically thorny issue of mental acuity in an increasingly elderly U.S. government, and what Americans think about age limits for public office. Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it would cost to "fix polling" and why Vice President Harris is polling less favorably than President Biden. The results are mixed in terms of which factions of both parties performed well and the marquee Republican Senate primary race in Pennsylvania is still close to call and could remain that way for days. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . police- settlements. They also consider how Rep. George Santoss scandals will affect his tenure in Congress and whether he would have been elected at all if his fabricated biography had received more scrutiny during the campaign. As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. Galen and Nate react to former President Trump's entrance into the 2024 presidential race and debate he stands in a possible matchup against Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. FiveThirtyEight Politics 295 views 25 Feb 2021 Transcribe your podcast [00:00:06] Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics podcast. This week Nikki Haley became the first major candidate to challenge former President Donald Trump in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. The crew reacts to Senator Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts - masrurratib.com The crew discusses what legal debates are currently playing out, what the decision could mean for the future of Roe v. Wade, and where Americans stand on abortion restrictions in general. The Lowe Post Show - PodCenter - ESPN Radio What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and local level, but is also still the de facto party leader and considering another run for the White House? They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. Five Thirty-Eight sometimes referred to as 538, focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. To mark a year since Russias full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. The crew tries to unpack whats driving Democrats legislative decisions and who will have to compromise to pass the party's agenda. They also discuss how the country has changed demographically and geographically over the past decade, based on the newly released 2020 census data. Preview of Spotify. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. The majority of the coverage did not show signs of bias, such as articles on immigration, midterm elections and the Jan. 6 hearings. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what hes learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in New Jersey and Virginian and looks at the debate playing out between the two parties over how much wealthy Americans and corporations should be paying in taxes. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. The crew discusses the various types of legislation different states may adopt if Roe v. Wade is overturned, and how those policies jibe with local public opinion. Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and answer listener questions. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. Instagram did not return a 200. The Johnson & Johnson Pause Shows The System Is Working How COVID-19 Affected Tuesday's Vote l FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast The crew tries to rank the electoral significance of some of the biggest stories in the news right now. Finally, they analyze why Bidens approval rating has increased by nearly five points since late July. We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. The Gerrymandering Project: California | FiveThirtyEight Politics Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. They also debate the meaning of a recent poll from Axios that suggests Americans are exhausted. They also review the mostly finalized congressional maps for the cycle and discuss new polling on American polarization. With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. . Posted by October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. FiveThirtyEight - YouTube Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science and life. They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will impact the countrys broader political environment in a Midterm election year. FiveThirtyEight On The Road - Splash podcast transcripts and podcast transcription services. Nate Silver is back from his book research/poker trip to Las Vegas, and in this installment, he sits down with Galen Druke to answer listener questions and talk about what he learned on the strip. Maybe its time to get rid of election polls. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers . My mid-week morning train WFH reads: The SPAC Fad Is Ending in a Pile of Bankruptcies and Fire Sales: At least eight businesses that went public through mergers with "blank-check" companies have sought protection from creditors. And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America," Washington Post national columnist Philip Bump argues that many of the fissures that the country is facing today politically, economically, culturally have to do with the Baby Boomers getting old. Today those numbers have flipped. Almost a year after the 2020 Democratic National Convention, the crew looks back at the record number of Democrats who ran for president in 2020 and assesses where they are now. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. Schwartz and McMenamin: 11/29/21. We hear about the decade-long relationship between the two of them, one that dates back to the Kennedys arrival in Washington in the mid-50s, and hear fascinating observations these women make about each other. Sept. 25, 2014. negro-leagues-player- ratings. The crew discusses why Bidens favorability is falling and how much Democrats should worry about it. They also discuss shifting American views on foreign policy and the status of the infrastructure and budget bills currently being considered in the Senate.
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